Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 56.818710 64.755133 72.940882 81.981152 91.652715 101.659042 112.763829
2025-05-04 44.162494 55.331325 67.455067 81.453688 97.039319 113.738606 132.865908
2025-05-11 36.292258 49.042641 63.440201 80.612309 100.267419 121.821931 147.014086
2025-05-18 31.140328 45.049163 61.307450 81.232566 104.552942 130.595181 161.503649
2025-05-25 26.491702 41.040350 58.631615 80.746673 107.159554 137.132383 173.182073
2025-06-01 23.037165 38.096381 56.886286 81.052219 110.425969 144.215208 185.307166
2025-06-08 19.581465 34.757534 54.332382 80.097672 111.964368 149.107354 194.756396
2025-06-15 17.532054 33.083258 53.710841 81.378017 116.071798 156.926691 207.545262
2025-06-22 15.798318 31.658746 53.268869 82.766376 120.222464 164.737485 220.287307
2025-06-29 13.539620 29.219368 51.283494 82.020547 121.611456 169.150011 228.944496
2025-07-06 11.176927 26.337645 48.477778 80.024492 121.289389 171.381862 234.913759
2025-07-13 10.596314 26.225115 49.513726 83.093683 127.369264 181.416288 250.251312
2025-07-20 9.684582 25.488701 49.628540 84.935131 131.926792 189.663375 263.555487
2025-07-27 8.244429 23.669650 48.045988 84.381637 133.340993 194.002351 272.121877
2025-08-03 6.911926 21.847059 46.322074 83.524775 134.277067 197.686557 279.846073
2025-08-10 6.058741 20.802633 45.705459 84.157807 137.129506 203.742958 290.462105
2025-08-17 5.081918 19.351667 44.349023 83.661682 138.427646 207.805461 298.603175
2025-08-24 4.366894 18.324391 43.593282 83.973692 140.768263 213.164668 308.335240
2025-08-31 3.532918 16.858018 42.010600 82.998892 141.314193 216.198906 315.156669
2025-09-07 3.133378 16.346082 41.989289 84.306383 144.951127 223.187256 326.910440
2025-09-14 2.788438 15.904945 42.055136 85.723979 148.730356 230.360120 338.906114
2025-09-21 2.218436 14.710693 40.719110 84.962469 149.463433 233.572436 345.920845
2025-09-28 1.606275 13.157943 38.611333 82.924154 148.351436 234.338251 349.817291